Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Taffs Well AFC		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.8	2.09
	2.85	3.65	2.08
	3.03	3.85	2.1
	2.9	3.68	2.07
	2.8	3.8	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.46)	3.76 ↑ (3.74)	2.09 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
31.8%

Draw
24.4%

Ammanford
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

24.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

22.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taffs Well AFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taffs Well AFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ammanford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taffs Well AFC - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
81', 0 - 1, Reed L. ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, Fisher M. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, Johnson S. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ammanford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Taffs Well won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
22.11.24	Newport City - Taffs Well AFC	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Taffs Well AFC - Llantwit Major	3:0 ✺
01.11.24	Taffs Well AFC - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
25.10.24	Llanelli - Taffs Well AFC	5:0 ✺
19.10.24	Taffs Well AFC - Baglan Dragons	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWTLL
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
22.11.24	Trefelin - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Ammanford - Haverfordwest County	1:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Pontypridd United - Ammanford	3:0 ✺
25.10.24	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.09.24	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	3:0
20.04.24	Taffs Well AFC - Ammanford	1:3
Welsh FA Cup
15.09.23	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 penalties
Welsh Cymru South
28.07.23	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	1:0
25.03.23	Taffs Well AFC - Ammanford	0:1
19.08.22	Ammanford - Taffs Well AFC	0:5
08.04.22	Taffs Well AFC - Ammanford	0:1

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