Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Mafra		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.25
	2.08	3.11	3.65	Watch
	2.12	2.97	3.42
	2.5	2.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.07)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.24 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
41.3%

Draw
30.7%

Atlético CP
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Mafra - Atlético CP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Silva P. (G) 13. Raposo C. 2. Camara M. 3. Alves K. 5. Beni D. 46. Sambu B. 6. Pinto R. (C) 85. Neves L. 8. Goncalves V. 19. Iheanacho S. 9. Niang M.	1. Ferreira F. (G) 31. Paulinho 23. Almeida B. 4. Henriques D. 5. Durand V. 10. Caleb 18. Dias R. 6. Pascoal C. 7. Barandas M. 9. Nicolas Souza 19. Okoli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Ferreira F. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Goncalves V. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Nicolas Souza ↓, Marques R. ↑,
59', Okoli F. ↓, Santana C. ↑,
60', Goncalves V. ↓, Lucas Gabriel ↑,
60', Iheanacho S. ↓, Ninte M. ↑,
81', Pinto R. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
90+3', Raposo C. 🟨,
90+3', Niang M. ↓, Rossi R. ↑,
90+5', Beni D. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ))

Mafra is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético CP has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mafra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atlético CP has had a series of home games.

Mafra might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.25	União de Santarém - Mafra	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Mafra - Amora	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mafra - 1 Dezembro	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Caldas - Mafra	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Celoricense - Mafra	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTL
- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.25	Atlético CP - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Atlético CP - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.10.25	Atlético CP - 1 Dezembro	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético CP - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
02.04.16	Atlético CP - Mafra	1:1
08.11.15	Mafra - Atlético CP	0:0

Mafra - Atlético CP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide