Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)


	Amorebieta		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.4	2.85	2.95
	2.38	3.05	2.75
	2.58	3.01	2.9
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.5	3.08	2.71
	2.4	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.27)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	2.8 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
37.3%

Draw
30.2%

Atlético Baleares
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

31.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

30.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Amorebieta - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Baleares will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 15).

Amorebieta is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlético Baleares is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.11.22	UD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Amorebieta - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Atlético Saguntino - Amorebieta	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Cornellà - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Amorebieta - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWLWW
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.11.22	Atlético Baleares - Intercity	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Calahorra - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Arnedo - Atlético Baleares	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Atlético Baleares - Numancia	4:1 ✺
30.10.22	Real Sociedad B - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLWL

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