Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)


	Amorebieta		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.05	2.95	3.7
	2.04	3.05	3.45
	2.09	3.06	3.87
	2.15	2.88	3.5
	2.01	3.1	3.65
	2.05	3.1	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.16)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	3.55 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
44.3%

Draw
30.1%

La Nucía
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Amorebieta - La Nucía Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

La Nucía is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amorebieta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Amorebieta will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Atlético Saguntino - Amorebieta	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Cornellà - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Amorebieta - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Castellón - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWLW
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Hércules - La Nucía	2:4 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	La Nucía - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	La Nucía - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Cornellà - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	La Nucía - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWTT

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