Match Info

Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday


	América Mineiro		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.53	3.4	6.25
	1.6	3.2	6	Watch
	1.61	3.25	6.2
	1.66	3.46	6.92
	1.6	3.3	6.5
	1.65	3.45	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	3.35 ↓ (3.37)	6.22 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
57.6%

Draw
27.5%

Figueirense
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

27.3%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

22.3%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

América Mineiro - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

América MG is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Figueirense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently América MG have a series of guest games.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches América MG won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
16.09.20	Ponte Preta - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
05.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
02.09.20	América Mineiro - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLWW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.20	Cuiabá - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
04.09.20	Figueirense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
01.09.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Figueirense - Confiança	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.08.20	Fluminense - Figueirense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.10.19	Figueirense - América Mineiro	2:1
13.07.19	América Mineiro - Figueirense	0:4
11.11.17	Figueirense - América Mineiro	1:2
21.07.17	América Mineiro - Figueirense	4:2
Brazilian Serie A
14.09.16	Figueirense - América Mineiro	2:2
05.06.16	América Mineiro - Figueirense	1:0
Brazilian Primeira Liga
28.01.16	América Mineiro - Figueirense	1:0

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