Match Info

Mineiro - Round 7

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Cruzeiro		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.8	5.75
	1.42	4.15	7.1
	1.43	4.01	8.03
	1.51	3.98	5.8
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.5	3.75	7.29	Watch
	1.33	4.33	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	3.95 ↑ (3.55)	7.21 ↑ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
63.8%

Draw
23.4%

América Mineiro
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

25.7%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

25.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Cruzeiro - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cruzeiro (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 43. Joao Marcelo 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. (C) 11. Gerson 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 88. Christian 19. Kaio Jorge	1. Gustavo (C) 22. Leo Alaba 4. Rafa Barcelos 2. Emerson Santos 96. Artur 8. Felipe Amaral 3. Nathan Pelae 77. Segovia M. 21. Eduardo Person 10. Yago Souza 20. Paulo Victor
Substitutes
44. Bruno Alves 77. Japa 36. Kaua Prates 70. Kenji 16. Lucas Silva 8. Matheus Henrique 81. Otavio Costa (G) 17. Sinisterra L. 25. Villalba L. 22. Villarreal N. 94. Wanderson 12. William	17. Dorna K. 5. Elizari F. 88. Jhonatan Lima 6. Paulinho 12. Samuel 55. Thallyson 11. Thauan 97. Val Soares 19. William (G) 9. Willian Bigode 33. Yago Santos 67. Yarlen
Coaches
Tite	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge (Penalty Awarded),
11', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
19', Yago Souza 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽,
45+6', Cassio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Segovia M. ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
46', Yago Souza ↓, Val Soares ↑,
59', Christian ↓, Wanderson ↑,
61', Paulo Victor ↓, Thauan ↑,
62', Artur ↓, Paulinho ↑,
64', Arroyo K. 🟨,
67', Arroyo K. ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
76', Gerson ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
76', Kaio Jorge ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
76', Matheus Pereira ↓, Japa ↑,
81', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
82', Eduardo Person ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.

Recent form of Cruzeiro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

América MG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
05.02.26	Cruzeiro - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.02.26	Betim - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.01.26	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Cruzeiro - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
31.01.26	América Mineiro - URT	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Uberlândia - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Itabirito - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Democrata GV - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
22.02.25	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1 penalties
16.02.25	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	1:1
05.02.25	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	1:1
15.02.24	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
01.10.23	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	1:1
14.05.23	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:4
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
19.03.23	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1

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