Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Mourao P. J. S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Náutico Capibaribe		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3	3.8
	1.9	3.1	4	Watch
	1.94	3.15	4.43
	1.89	3.12	4.17	Watch
	1.83	3	4
	1.9	2.99	4.23	Watch
	1.94	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.04)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	4.08 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
47.9%

Draw
29.7%

Figueirense
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

30.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Deivity (G) 80. Bruno Mezenga 10. Gustavo Maia 95. Iran 12. Islan 6. Luiz Paulo 8. Marco Antonio 82. Mateus Ludke 20. Patrick Allan 9. Paulo Sergio 25. Sousa	47. Ruan Carneiro (G) 30. Bruno Michel 27. Genilson 20. Gledson 31. Henrique Rodrigues 32. Jefinho 33. Jhony Douglas 2. Leonardo Maia 6. Samuel Toscas 15. Tiago Barbosa 23. Tito
Substitutes
78. Andrey 2. Arnaldo 26. Caio 17. Cleo Silva 35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 36. Diego Matos 96. Felipe Ferreira 3. Joecio 15. Kayon 30. Lorran 1. Lucas Maticoli (G) 70. Meloto M.	10. Camilo 14. Cedric 29. Cristian Renato 5. JP Iseppe 18. Kaua 21. Leo Baiano 9. Renan Bernabe 4. Thomas Kayck 12. Vinicius Barreta (G)
Coaches
Bruno Pivetti	Joao Burse

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
18', Luiz Paulo 🟨,
45:00, 2 - 0, Patrick Allan ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jhony Douglas ↓, Leo Baiano ↑,
46', Gledson ↓, Camilo ↑,
52', Marco Antonio 🟨,
57', Marco Antonio ↓, Wendel Lessa ↑,
58', Bruno Michel ↓, Kaua ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
69', Gustavo Maia ↓, de Sousa Oliveira T. ↑,
69', Paulo Sergio ↓, Meloto M. ↑,
72', Henrique Rodrigues ↓, JP Iseppe ↑,
72', Jefinho ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
78', Mateus Ludke ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
78', Patrick Allan ↓, Arnaldo ↑,
81', Kaua 🟨,
85', 4 - 0, Felipe Ferreira ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Náutico will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Náutico won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
07.07.24	Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
01.07.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
17.06.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Caxias	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTLT
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
07.07.24	Figueirense - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
03.07.24	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
23.06.24	São Bernardo - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Figueirense - Confiança	2:0 ✺
08.06.24	Figueirense - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
15.07.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
06.12.20	Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
01.09.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense	1:0
15.08.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense	2:0
20.05.17	Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0
Brazilian Serie A
29.08.12	Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense	3:2
19.05.12	Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe	N/A

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