Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	América Mineiro		Patrocinense

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.6	9.75
	1.32	4.25	8
	1.26	4.5	10
	1.26	5.01	10.16
	1.25	4.4	12
	1.26	4.95	11.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	4.62 ↑ (4.02)	10.28 ↑ (6.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
71.4%

Draw
19.7%

Patrocinense
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.4%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.5%

18.7%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América Mineiro's performance.

Patrocinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

América Mineiro - Patrocinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Mineiro (5th~8th places) and 11 in the zone Relegation).

América MG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Patrocinense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

América MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match América MG is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches América MG won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
12.02.22	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:2 ✺
08.02.22	Pouso Alegre - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	0:2 ✺
30.01.22	América Mineiro - Democrata GV	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTWW
- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
12.02.22	Athletic Club - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Patrocinense - Caldense	0:2 ✺
06.02.22	Atlético Mineiro - Patrocinense	3:0 ✺
02.02.22	Patrocinense - URT	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Patrocinense - Uberlândia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.04.21	América Mineiro - Patrocinense	1:1
15.03.20	Patrocinense - América Mineiro	0:1
03.02.19	Patrocinense - América Mineiro	0:0
17.01.18	América Mineiro - Patrocinense	2:1

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