Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Athletic Club		Patrocinense

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.6	4.4
	1.55	3.6	5
	1.68	3.4	4.5
	1.64	3.63	5.15
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.64	3.54	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.03)	3.5 ↑ (3.04)	4.89 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
55.3%

Draw
26.1%

Patrocinense
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Club's performance.

Patrocinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patrocinense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Athletic Club - Patrocinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Mineiro (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Athletic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Patrocinense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athletic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
09.02.22	Athletic Club - Tombense	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	1:4 ✺
30.01.22	Athletic Club - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
26.01.22	Uberlândia - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 WTWLW
- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
09.02.22	Patrocinense - Caldense	0:2 ✺
06.02.22	Atlético Mineiro - Patrocinense	3:0 ✺
02.02.22	Patrocinense - URT	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Patrocinense - Uberlândia	1:2 ✺
26.01.22	Democrata GV - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
28.02.21	Patrocinense - Athletic Club	0:2

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