Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 18

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday


	América RN		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.67	3.4	5
	1.83	3.14	5.24
	1.78	2.9	4.4
	1.79	3.18	4.7	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.88)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	4.66 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
51.5%

Draw
28.9%

Aparecidense
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

29.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

América RN - Aparecidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. América RN will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América RN: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Renan (G) 23. Buiu 10. Elvinho 33. Ferreira de Amorim A. 37. Gabriel Silva 3. Jean Pierre (C) 17. Joao Lucas 11. Rafinha 16. Rodriguinho 22. Vinicius Paulista 9. Wallace Pernambucano	1. Pedro Henrique (G) 9. Alex Henrique 11. Calyson Rosa 2. David 5. Ferreira 8. Genilson 7. Guilherme Nunes 4. Leo Rigo 10. Robert (C) 6. Rodrigues 3. Vanderley
Substitutes
39. Alvaro 8. Araujo 1. Bruno (G) 4. Edson Silva 14. Everton Sena 20. Gustavo Ramos 26. Kaio 38. Leo Rafael 27. Luan Sales 77. Matheuzinho 31. Rael 13. Renan Gorne	19. Alan James 21. Evanderson 15. Felipe Manoel 18. Jackson 20. Joao Diogo 22. Matheus Leal 13. Naldo 14. Rafael Goiano 17. Rafa Marcos 16. Raphael Luz 12. William Menezes (G)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match América RN is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches América RN won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams América RN won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Serie C
13.08.23	América RN - Pouso Alegre	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Figueirense - América RN	3:0 ✺
30.07.23	América RN - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	São Bernardo - América RN	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Altos - América RN	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTT
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
12.08.23	Aparecidense - Confiança	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Amazonas - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
31.07.23	Aparecidense - Floresta	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Pouso Alegre - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
15.07.23	Botafogo PB - Aparecidense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
15.07.17	América RN - Aparecidense	1:0
08.07.17	Aparecidense - América RN	0:0

América RN - Aparecidense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide