Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 11

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Referee: Gomes T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Botafogo PB		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.2	5.25
	1.68	3.3	5	Watch
	1.72	3.25	5.88
	1.78	3.18	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.2	5
	1.65	3.3	5.33	Watch
	1.67	3.25	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	5.2 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
54.3%

Draw
28.1%

Aparecidense
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

26.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Botafogo PB - Aparecidense Predictions

Users Predictions: Botafogo PB will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (C) 10. Bruno Leite 8. Edmundo 22. Erick 32. Evandro 29. Jo 9. Pipico 14. Renie 20. Thallyson 16. Warley 4. Wendel Lomar	12. Matheus Alves (G) 8. Du Fernandes 16. Emanuel 11. Igor Torres 20. Juninho 13. Luan Sales 5. Matheus Chaves 4. Mauricio 7. Rhuan 9. Rubens 3. Vanderley (C)
Substitutes
3. Douglas 17. Gabriel Lima 15. Gama 25. Gustavo Poffo 34. Jefferson 19. Joaozinho 33. Lucas Balardin 5. Lucas Goncalves 27. Paulinho 6. Rafael Furlan 12. Wallace (G) 7. Will	17. Cauari 14. Enzo 19. Ezequiel 18. Falcao 2. Genilson 15. Luan Martins 21. Marcelinho 23. Matheus Inacio (G) 1. Pedro Henrique (G) 10. Robert 6. Rodrigues
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Lucio F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', Mauricio ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
24', Vanderley 🟥,
27', 1 - 0, Pipico ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Pipico ⚽,
39', Du Fernandes 🟨,
40', Rhuan ↓, Rodrigues ↑,
40', Juninho ↓, Genilson ↑,
41', 3 - 0, Jo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 3 - 1, Rubens ⚽,
56', 4 - 1, Evandro ⚽,
59', 4 - 2, Matheus Chaves ⚽,
69', Jo ↓, Lucas Balardin ↑,
69', Wendel Lomar ↓, Gustavo Poffo ↑,
69', 4 - 3, Igor Torres ⚽,
73', Rubens ↓, Cauari ↑,
74', Du Fernandes ↓, Enzo ↑,
78', Bruno Leite ↓, Gama ↑,
78', Evandro ↓, Rafael Furlan ↑,
87', Thallyson ↓, Will ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

Botafogo PB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aparecidense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Botafogo PB is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Botafogo PB to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
22.06.24	Londrina - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
03.06.24	Botafogo PB - Athletic Club	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTWWW
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
24.06.24	Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Aparecidense - Tombense	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Ferroviária - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Confiança - Aparecidense	3:1 ✺
20.05.24	Athletic Club - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
15.07.23	Botafogo PB - Aparecidense	2:1
13.08.22	Aparecidense - Botafogo PB	1:0

Upcoming Matches