Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 7

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena das Dunas (Natal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	América RN		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.38	2.92	2.88
	2.27	3.05	3.39
	2.44	3.05	2.86
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.32	3.3	2.99	Watch
	2.38	2.92	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.16)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
39.1%

Draw
30.2%

CS Alagoano
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

América RN - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. América RN will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América RN (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Renan Braganca (G) 6. Antonio 15. Arua 7. Dudu Figueiredo 4. Guilherme Paraiba 27. Hebert 22. Lucas Rodrigues 31. Rennan Siqueira 2. Ricardo Luz (C) 25. Robson Lopes 20. Salatiel	1. Gabriel Felix (G) 18. Baianinho 3. Betao 5. Camacho (C) 6. Enzo 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 8. Gustavo Nicola 4. Islan 2. Ramon 7. Silas 9. Tiago Marques
Substitutes
30. Davi Gabriel 5. Gabriel Araujo 11. Giva 14. Heitor 19. Henrique 37. Italo M. 45. Lucao (G) 32. Lucas Mendes 28. Marquinhos 29. Mikael 17. Romarinho 10. Thiaguinho	25. Diogo Batista 20. Gabriel Vieira 12. Georgemy (G) 17. Gustavinho 19. Igor Bahia 15. Kevyn 21. Klenisson 10. Luciano Naninho 13. Marcao 22. Marcelinho 16. Roberto 14. Vander

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Ricardo Luz 🟨,
30', Silas 🟨,
45', Tiago Marques 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Tiago Marques ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arua ↓, Henrique ↑,
46', Ricardo Luz ↓, Lucas Mendes ↑,
46', Silas ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
62', 🟨,
63', Dudu Figueiredo ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
63', Robson Lopes ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
65', Salatiel 🟥,
67', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
67', Baianinho ↓, Gabriel Vieira ↑,
77', Antonio ↓, Mikael ↑,
78', Gustavo Nicola 🟨,
81', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Klenisson ↑,
81', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Vander ↑,
90+3', Rennan Siqueira 🟨,
90+5', Gabriel Vieira 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

América RN has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

CSA is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

América RN might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, América RN won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Serie D
01.06.25	América RN - Sousa	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - América RN	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	América RN - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:0 ✺
09.05.25	Santa Cruz Recife - América RN	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Central SC - América RN	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
02.06.25	São Bernardo - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	CS Alagoano - Maringá	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
28.06.23	CS Alagoano - América RN	0:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.01.23	CS Alagoano - América RN	1:0 penalties

América RN - CS Alagoano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide