The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América de Cali 39.6%
Draw 31.1%
Millonarios 29.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
29.1%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
28.7%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
América de Cali - Millonarios Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for América de Cali: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 28. Mina L. M. 2. Torres M. 3. Rosero D. 24. Tovar C. 17. Lucumi J. 15. Carrascal R. 5. Escobar J. 7. Murillo J. 20. Ramos A. (C) 21. Angel T.
1. De Amores G. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 26. Llinas A. 4. Elizalde E. 20. Banguero D. 22. Valencia S. 19. Garcia M. 14. Silva D. 18. Urena R. 23. Castro L. 9. Falcao R.
Substitutes
35. Angulo K. 30. Bertel O. 8. Borrero D. 10. Guzman Y. 11. Machis D. 25. Romero J. 23. Sierra C. 12. Soto J. (G) 9. Valencia D.
24. Angulo J. 33. Castro A. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 7. Quintero D. 38. Rodriguez D. (G) 3. Samuel M. 28. Vega S. 30. Viveros S.
Coaches
Gonzalez D.
Bustos F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Rosero D. ⚽, Carrascal R. (A),
29', Llinas A. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Ramos A. ⚽, Carrascal R. (A),
44', Angel T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Angel T. ↓, Guzman Y. ↑,
46', Falcao R. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
60', Silva D. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
60', Garcia M. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
60', Castro L. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
64', Lucumi J. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
64', Ramos A. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
71', Sarabia C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Murillo J. ⚽, Escobar J. (A),
72', Murillo J. 🟨,
75', Murillo J. ↓, Borrero D. ↑,
75', Carrascal R. ↓, Sierra C. ↑,
75', Banguero D. ↓, Moreno Paz A. F. ↑,
83', Tovar C. ↓, Bertel O. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Quintero D. ⚽,
86', Mina L. M. 🟨,
90+3', Moreno Paz A. F. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
América de Cali will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
America De Cali
14
8
4
2
26:10
16
28
4
Millonarios
16
6
8
2
24:14
10
26
Last Results with these Odds
Millonarios - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.62%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Colombia
India
South-america
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Jean (G) 
Mina L. M. 
Murillo J. 
De Amores G. (G) 
Urena R. 
Valencia D. 
Bustos F. 
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