Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	OHiggins		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	3	Watch
	2.48	2.92	2.98	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.75
	2.73	3.13	2.73	Watch
	2.45	2.8	3
	2.45	2.94	3.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.79)	3 ↓ (3)	2.92 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OHiggins
36.6%

Draw
31.3%

Millonarios
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

31.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

OHiggins - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Millonarios will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 21. Garrido N. 20. Diaz L. 6. Pavez L. (C) 14. Maturana M. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 24. Gonzalez F. 9. Castillo A. 7. Martin Sarrafiore	12. Novoa D. (G) 18. Urena R. 26. Llinas A. 4. Elizalde E. 17. Arias J. 22. Valencia S. 19. Garcia M. 30. Viveros S. 14. Silva D. (C) 27. Contreras R. 23. Castro L.
Substitutes
16. Calderon E. 26. Godoy R. 34. Leiva B. 2. Morales C. 27. Movillo J. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 10. Rabello B. 15. Rojas B. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T. 29. Yanez B.	24. Angulo J. 20. Banguero D. 33. Castro A. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 1. De Amores G. (G) 9. Falcao R. 99. Hurtado J. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 7. Quintero D. 3. Samuel M. 28. Vega S.
Coaches
Bovaglio L.	Bustos F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Castillo A. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Viveros S. 🟨,
54', Arias J. 🟨,
62', Diaz L. 🟨,
67', Arias J. 🟨,
71', Castro L. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
71', Garcia M. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
71', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
74', Viveros S. ↓, Samuel M. ↑,
76', Elizalde E. 🟨,
78', Maturana M. ↓, Rabello B. ↑,
78', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
82', Silva D. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Yanez B. (A),
85', Castillo A. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
89', Gonzalez F. ↓, Rojas B. ↑,
89', Leiva J. ↓, Pinto G. ↑,

Preview

OHiggins is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Millonarios has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

OHiggins may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

OHiggins - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.35%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Millonarios - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
03.04.26	OHiggins - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Palestino - OHiggins	1:3 ✺
26.03.26	Everton de Viña - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	OHiggins - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.26	Unión La Calera - OHiggins	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWTT
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
02.04.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
30.03.26	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:4 ✺
17.03.26	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWWL

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