Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Movistar Deportes
South-america	DGO Latin America
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	América de Cali		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7	Watch
	1.41	4.15	7.9	Watch
	1.42	4.49	7.61
	1.42	4.6	7.65	Watch
	1.4	4	7	Watch
	1.4	4.35	7.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)	4.35 ↓ (4.93)	7.48 ↓ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Cali
66%

Draw
21.5%

Alianza Atlético
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.9%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.3%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

América de Cali - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Alianza Atlético (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 28. Mina L. M. 2. Torres M. 4. Mosquera A. 30. Bertel O. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 21. Angel T. 10. Guzman Y. 19. Palacios J. 9. Valencia D.	95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 4. Villegas J. C. 24. Gordillo A. 23. Munoz A. 15. Lupu H. (C) 10. Diaz G. 20. Perez J. 8. Flores F. 7. Coronel F.
Substitutes
35. Angulo K. 8. Borrero D. 6. Cavadia J. 16. Correa B. 11. Machis D. 7. Murillo J. 20. Ramos A. 25. Romero J. 3. Rosero D. 23. Sierra C. 12. Soto J. (G) 24. Tovar C.	29. Antilef A. 22. del Castillo J. 37. Delgado J. 16. Fernandez S. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 6. Lujan J. 19. Mendieta J. 17. Penilla C. 32. Quiroga S. 9. Robaldo V.
Coaches
Gonzalez D.	Urciuoli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Suarez R. 🟨,
22', Angel T. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Munoz A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Valencia D. ⚽, Angel T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Diaz G. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Guzman Y. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Lupu H. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
74', Flores F. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
74', Perez J. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
75', Palacios J. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
78', Gordillo A. 🟨,
84', Angel T. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
84', Guzman Y. ↓, Borrero D. ↑,
84', Valencia D. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
87', Coronel F. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
87', Munoz A. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
90+5', Mina L. M. 🟨,
90+5', Mina L. M. ↓, Correa B. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, América de Cali is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Cali
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Deportivo Macará - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
05.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	América de Cali - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLT
- Alianza Atlético
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Tigre	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Moquegua	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTWL

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