Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria (Monteria)

Referee: Bautista J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Jaguares de Córdoba		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.15	3.55	1.82	Watch
	4.38	3.64	1.83
	4.28	3.7	1.79	Watch
	4	3.3	1.83
	4.66	3.48	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (4.14)	3.53 ↑ (3.37)	1.81 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Córdoba
21.6%

Draw
26.5%

Millonarios
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.7%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mosquera F. (G) 22. Ordonez C. 5. Colpa Bolano R. R. 29. Henao C. 25. Jimenez L. 13. Hinestroza J. 23. Mosquera F. 16. Mejia J. 10. Jopito 19. Moreno Y. 11. Renteria A. (C)	12. Novoa D. (G) 3. Samuel M. 26. Llinas A. 4. Elizalde E. 17. Arias J. 22. Valencia S. 19. Garcia M. 28. Vega S. 14. Silva D. (C) 27. Contreras R. 23. Castro L.
Substitutes
14. Angulo Castro B. 24. Cubides S. 7. De La Rosa W. 27. Gracia F. 26. Lopez D. 6. Lovera J. 1. Martinez D. (G) 8. Rodriguez Urango D. 28. Zuluaga D.	24. Angulo J. 20. Banguero D. 80. Campaz B. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 1. De Amores G. (G) 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 35. Mosquera S. 7. Quintero D. 30. Viveros S.
Coaches
Reyes J.	Bustos F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Elizalde E. 🟨,
40', Mosquera F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mejia J. ↓, Rodriguez Urango D. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Moreno Y. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Samuel M. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
69', Jopito ↓, De La Rosa W. ↑,
73', Contreras R. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
73', Silva D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
75', Moreno Y. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
79', Llinas A. ↓, Campaz B. ↑,
79', Garcia M. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
90+1', Mosquera F. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
90+1', Ordonez C. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
90+2', Novoa D. 🟨,
90+7', Martinez D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 2.

Jaguares de Córdoba is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Millonarios is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Millonarios	14	5	7	2	19:12	7	22
20	Jaguares de Cordoba	11	1	4	6	11:20	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Millonarios - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.7%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
28.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
23.03.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
30.03.26	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:4 ✺
17.03.26	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
25.09.24	Millonarios - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0
10.03.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios	2:1
13.08.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios	2:0
18.02.23	Millonarios - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1
20.08.22	Millonarios - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0
Colombian Copa
11.05.22	Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios	1:1
21.04.22	Millonarios - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:0

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