Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Millonarios		Boston River

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.5	19	Watch
	1.17	5.9	18.5	Watch
	1.16	7.11	18.6
	1.17	6.89	18.78	Watch
	1.17	6.5	15	Watch
	1.19	7.35	19	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.39)	6.55 ↑ (4.27)	16.64 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
79.7%

Draw
14.6%

Boston River
5.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.7%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.3%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millonarios's performance.

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boston River might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millonarios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boston River could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Millonarios - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Boston River will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Novoa D. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 20. Banguero D. 4. Elizalde E. 22. Valencia S. 19. Garcia M. 14. Silva D. (C) 18. Urena R. 27. Contreras R. 23. Castro L.	12. Gonzalez J. (C) 17. Haller R. 3. Mancebo M. 2. Sotto K. 15. Vazquez L. 99. Reyna G. 29. Lima A. 14. Dafonte F. 11. Ramirez G. 32. Gonzalez Y. 8. Bonfiglio F.
Substitutes
24. Angulo J. 33. Castro A. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 1. De Amores G. (G) 9. Falcao R. 99. Hurtado J. 26. Llinas A. 7. Quintero D. 3. Samuel M. 28. Vega S. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S. 30. Viveros S.	31. Acosta J. 25. Aguirre A. 10. Amado A. 1. Antunez B. (G) 5. Barrios F. 13. Fernandez I. 9. Gonzalez A. 30. Gonzalez M. 20. Hornos M. 28. Martinicorena F. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 21. Perez F.
Coaches
Bustos F.	Ithurralde I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Contreras R. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
47', Falcao R. 🟨,
57', Ramirez G. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
57', Lima A. ↓, Amado A. ↑,
60', Moreno Paz A. F. 🟨,
63', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
63', Dafonte F. ↓, Barrios F. ↑,
65', Garcia M. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
65', Silva D. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
74', Sarabia C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
76', Banguero D. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
81', Valencia S. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
83', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Quintero D. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
90', Reyna G. ↓, Hornos M. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Millonarios is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
12.04.26	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	OHiggins - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.04.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
30.03.26	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLTW
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.26	Defensor Sporting - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Boston River - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.04.26	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	4:1 ✺
30.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Boston River	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWL

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