Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 11

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)


	Anápolis		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.10	3.90
	1.98	3.05	3.60	Watch
	1.88	3.29	4.42
	2.22	2.86	3.63	Watch
	1.85	3.10	3.75
	1.88	3.44	3.90	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.06)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	3.87 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
47.2%

Draw
29.1%

Itabaiana
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

30.1%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

31.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Anápolis - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 26. Cassio Gabriel 9. Gonzalo Fornari 3. Igor Souza 10. Juninho 22. Kaik Vicoza 5. Kauan Guilherme 6. Leonan (C) 8. Lucas Kallyel 4. Rafael Costa 2. Rubinho	1. Jefferson (G) 5. Gustavo Crecci 8. Karl (C) 7. Leilson 4. Ligger 3. Lucao 23. Lucas Bessa 11. Renatinho 2. Ricardo Cerqueira 10. Rodrigo Alves 6. Tarcisio
Substitutes
11. Fernandinho 15. Gharib 18. Giva 27. Gustavo Henrique 41. Joao Borim 16. Julio Cesar 20. Luiz Felipe 31. Marcio Defendi (G) 33. Robson Reis 21. Rodriguinho 23. Victor Hugo (G) 17. Vitor Fonseca	21. Caio Felipe 22. Cleiton 20. Dudu 19. Elimar 17. Fabricio Oya 12. Geaze (G) 14. Gustavo Cintra 13. Gustavo Fagundes 15. Isaque 16. Tito 18. Vitinho
Coaches
Fernandes R.	Marcelo Chamusca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
21', Cassio Gabriel 🟨,
38', Juninho 🟨,
41', Lucas Kallyel 🟨,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucas Bessa ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
46', Ricardo Cerqueira ↓, Isaque ↑,
46', Lucas Kallyel ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Cassio Gabriel ⚽,
61', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Tito ↑,
61', Tarcisio ↓, Elimar ↑,
70', Kauan Guilherme ↓, Joao Borim ↑,
79', Gustavo Crecci ↓, Cleiton ↑,
85', Juninho ↓, Gharib ↑,
85', Cassio Gabriel ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
90+1', Isaque 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Anápolis is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Itabaiana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Anápolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Anápolis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Anápolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Anápolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
13.06.26	Amazonas - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
07.06.26	Paysandu - Anápolis	4:0 ✺
04.06.26	Anápolis - Paysandu	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.26	Anápolis - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
27.05.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Anápolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTL
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.26	Itabaiana - Ituano	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Itabaiana - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Figueirense - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Itabaiana - Floresta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
06.07.25	Anápolis - Itabaiana	1:0

Anápolis - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide