Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)


	Itabaiana		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	2.95	2.65
	2.48	2.92	2.72	Watch
	2.63	2.93	2.9
	2.6	2.94	2.9	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.51	2.83	2.77	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.64)	2.89 ↓ (2.94)	2.76 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
35.8%

Draw
31.3%

Ituano
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

31%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Itabaiana - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jefferson (G) 9. Everton Kanela 5. Fabricio Moura 8. Karl (C) 7. Leilson 4. Ligger 3. Lucao 23. Lucas Bessa 2. Ricardo Cerqueira 10. Rodrigo Alves 6. Tarcisio	1. Saulo (G) 9. Gabriel Razera 5. Gabriel William 10. Guilherme Xavier (C) 3. Leo Coltro 2. Lucas Mota 8. Martha 4. Matheus Mancini 11. Neto Berola 7. Thassio 6. Tiaguinho
Substitutes
19. Andrade L. F. 21. Caio Felipe 20. Cleiton 22. Dione 17. Elimar 12. Geaze (G) 14. Gustavo Cintra 13. Gustavo Fagundes 15. Isaque 18. Pedro Igor 11. Renatinho 16. Tito	17. Bruno Alves 19. Bruno Mezenga 15. Carlao 16. Guilherme Dal Pian 14. Leandro Sergipe 21. Leo Passos 20. Leo Souza 22. Marlinho 18. Nelsinho 12. Pantera J. (G) 13. Victor Reis
Coaches
Marcelo Chamusca	de Freitas U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Martha (Own goal),
10', 🟨,
37', Thassio 🟨,
45+8', 2 - 0, Leilson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Thassio ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
46', Gabriel Razera ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Tiaguinho ⚽,
73', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Itabaiana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Itabaiana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
30.05.26	Itabaiana - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Figueirense - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Itabaiana - Floresta	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Maringá - Itabaiana	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTWTL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
30.05.26	Caxias - Ituano	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Ituano - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Guarani - Ituano	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Ituano - Confiança	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Ypiranga - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
27.07.25	Itabaiana - Ituano	3:1
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.19	Itabaiana - Ituano	1:0
13.07.19	Ituano - Itabaiana	3:1

Itabaiana - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide