Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)


	Itabaiana		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.22	2.92	3.1	Watch
	2.28	3	3.24
	2.34	2.91	3.36	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.25	2.9	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.36)	2.91 ↓ (2.97)	3.18 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
40.4%

Draw
31.1%

Volta Redonda
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Itabaiana - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Itabaiana will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Geaze (G) 3. Betao 5. Gustavo Crecci 8. Karl (C) 7. Leilson 4. Ligger 9. Luan Silva 23. Lucas Bessa 2. Ricardo Cerqueira 10. Rodrigo Alves 6. Tarcisio	1. Avelino (G) 13. Alan (C) 29. Caetano 8. Dener 20. Fellipinho 6. Jean Victor 25. Juliano Fabro 15. Lucas Rocha 7. Marquinhos 33. Pedro Costa 9. Ygor Catatau
Substitutes
19. Balde R. 20. Cleiton 22. Elimar 17. Fabricio Moura 14. Gustavo Cintra 21. Gustavo Fagundes 15. Isaque 18. Pedro Igor 11. Renatinho 16. Tito 12. William (G)	19. Blanco O. 5. Bruno Barra 45. Deivity (G) 4. Fabricio 22. Juninho Monteiro 30. Juninho Ramos 10. Luciano Naninho 14. Rafael Castro 28. Rafael Furtado 26. Romarinho 17. Wagninho
Coaches
Marcelo Chamusca	Jorge M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Betao ↓, Lucao ↑,
38', Lucas Rocha 🟨,
42', Caetano 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caetano ↓, Wagninho ↑,
46', Ricardo Cerqueira ↓, Isaque ↑,
51', Fellipinho ↓, Romarinho ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Juliano Fabro ⚽,
73', Juliano Fabro ↓, Bruno Barra ↑,
77', Marquinhos ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
77', Ygor Catatau ↓, Rafael Furtado ↑,
79', Lucas Bessa ↓, Renatinho ↑,
79', Leilson ↓, Cleiton ↑,
83', Tarcisio ↓, Elimar ↑,
87', Gustavo Crecci 🟨,
90+4', Alan 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Volta Redonda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Itabaiana has had a series of away games.

Itabaiana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Itabaiana - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
24.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Figueirense - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Itabaiana - Floresta	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Maringá - Itabaiana	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Piauí - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWTLT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
27.05.26	Avaí - Volta Redonda	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
24.05.26	Volta Redonda - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
20.05.26	Volta Redonda - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
16.05.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Volta Redonda - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLT

Itabaiana - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide