Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho (Limeira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Internacional de Limeira		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	2.98	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.5
	1.96	2.9	4.65	Watch
	1.91	2.75	4
	1.87	2.88	4.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.7)	2.92 ↓ (3.38)	4.37 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Limeira
47.9%

Draw
31.2%

Itabaiana
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.1%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

26.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Internacional de Limeira's form might have worsened.

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional de Limeira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Internacional de Limeira - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Emerson Junior (G) 20. Fabricio Dias 3. Frazan 6. Joao Victor 25. Lucas Buchecha 4. Lucas Santos 9. Miguel Bianconi (C) 32. Richard 35. Romarinho 19. Vitor Leque 2. Yan Silva	1. Leo Souza (G) 3. Betao (C) 9. Everton Kanela 5. Gustavo Crecci 7. Leilson 4. Ligger 19. Luan Silva 23. Lucas Bessa 2. Ricardo Cerqueira 10. Rodrigo Alves 6. Tarcisio
Substitutes
10. Claudinho 31. Emerson Santos 22. Gabriel Dias 17. Getulio 34. Leo Paraiso 26. Marco Antonio 14. Nassom 18. Robinho 30. Robson 15. Ronaldo Henrique 1. Saulo (G) 27. Vidal	20. Cleiton 17. Fabricio Moura 12. Geaze (G) 14. Gustavo Cintra 21. Gustavo Fagundes 15. Isaque 13. Lucao 18. Pedro Igor 11. Renatinho 16. Tito
Coaches
Matheus Costa	Marcelo Chamusca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Tarcisio 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Leo Souza 🟨,
64', Lucas Buchecha ↓, Gabriel Dias ↑,
64', Romarinho ↓, Claudinho ↑,
76', Vitor Leque ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
79', 🟨,
80', Leilson ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
80', Luan Silva ↓, Renatinho ↑,
86', Fabricio Dias ↓, Getulio ↑,
86', Richard ↓, Ronaldo Henrique ↑,
89', Lucas Bessa ↓, Fabricio Moura ↑,
90+1', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Lucao ↑,
90+1', Tarcisio ↓, Tito ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Itabaiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inter de Limeira is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.26	Botafogo PB - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
11.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Confiança - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLWTT
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
16.05.26	Figueirense - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Itabaiana - Floresta	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Maringá - Itabaiana	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Piauí - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Itabaiana - Paysandu	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLTL

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