The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estrela da Amadora 37.9%
Draw 30.8%
Casa Pia 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
29.2%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
28.6%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.8%
66.7%
9.5%
Estrela da Amadora - Casa Pia Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 65%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 85.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Ribeiro R. (G) 21. Scholze M. 30. Luan Patrick 14. Bernardo Schappo 24. Langa B. 39. Doue G. 6. Jansson K. 8. Robinho 99. Marcus A. 9. Rodrigo Pinho (C) 10. Stoica I.
1. Sequeira P. (G) 4. Goulart J. 3. Kaly 18. Geraldes A. (C) 72. Larrazabal G. 42. Perez S. 8. Brito R. 5. Conte A. 29. Livolant J. 90. Cassiano 10. Rocha Livramento D.
Substitutes
7. Antonetti L. 22. Grilo D. (G) 11. Jovane 2. Kalley Y. 18. Meireles J. 28. Moustier T. 83. Otavio 63. Sola A. 20. van Hooijdonk S.
6. Fonte J. 95. Mandic I. (G) 11. Marques J. 99. Mendes C. 24. Mohamed I. 21. Morais T. 7. Nsona K. 13. Osundina K. 75. Rosas P.
Coaches
Silva L.
Pacheco A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
4', Kaly 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Pinho (Penalty Awarded),
18', Bernardo Schappo 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Marcus A. ⚽,
39', Rocha Livramento D. ↓, Morais T. ↑,
39', Kaly ↓, Fonte J. ↑,
45+1', Robinho 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 0, Rodrigo Pinho ⚽, Marcus A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cassiano ↓, Marques J. ↑,
57', Brito R. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
67', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Jovane ↑,
67', Robinho ↓, Sola A. ↑,
75', Stoica I. ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Doue G. ⚽, Marcus A. (A),
76', Livolant J. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
82', Doue G. ↓, Moustier T. ↑,
83', Bernardo Schappo ↓, Otavio ↑,
85', Perez S. 🟨,
85', Sola A. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 3.
Estrela is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Casa Pia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Estrela: Drame I.
(Inactive)
Encada J.
(Injury)
van Hooijdonk S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Estrela: Gbomadu M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Casa Pia: Batista R.
(Inactive)
Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Ofori L.
(Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Brazil
Finland
Greece
Portugal
Ukraine
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Ribeiro R. (G) 
Scholze M. 
Langa B. 
Doue G. 
Jansson K. 
Marcus A. 
Stoica I. 
Sequeira P. (G) 
Goulart J. 
Kaly 
Larrazabal G. 
Perez S. 
Rocha Livramento D. 
Antonetti L. 
van Hooijdonk S. 
Mandic I. (G) 
Mendes C. 
Mohamed I. 
Osundina K. 
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