Match Info
Coppa Italia Serie D - 1/32-finalsDate: 7 October 2026, WednesdayLocation: Stadio del Conero (Ancona)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Ancona |
|
Fossombrone |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.5 |
3.75 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.53 |
3.75 |
5.00 |
|
 |
1.5 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
|
 |
1.55 |
4.18 |
5.1 |
|
 |
1.54 |
4.22 |
4.87 |
|
 |
1.53 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
|
 |
1.58 |
3.94 |
5.52 |
|
 |
1.53 |
3.85 |
5.4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.46) |
3.94 ↑
(3.92) |
5.09 ↓
(5.88) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ancona
59.2% | Draw
23% | Fossombrone
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-3.1%)Ancona - Fossombrone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 80', 1 - 0, Pupo Posada Y. ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', (Penalty Awarded),
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In recent outings, Ancona has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Fossombrone is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).Recently, Fossombrone has had a run of games away from home. The betting markets point to Ancona as the clear and undisputed favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ancona has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Ancona against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
