The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ancona 57.3%
Draw 25.3%
Fossombrone 17.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.2%
24.7%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
23.9%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ancona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Ancona - Fossombrone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 3, ⚽,
78', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group F Playoffs and 10th).
Ancona is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Fossombrone have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Fossombrone has had a run of games away from home.
Ancona holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Our forecast points to a victory for Ancona in today's match, at odds of 1.43.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ancona has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ancona against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
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