Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 25

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ancona		Olbia

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.7	3.4	5	Watch
	1.71	3.27	4.59
	1.68	3.53	5.6
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.65	3.42	5.06	Watch
	1.7	3.35	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	4.96 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
54.5%

Draw
27%

Olbia
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

22.7%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ancona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olbia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ancona - Olbia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Perucchini F. (G) 30. Pellizzari S. 4. Cella S. 5. Mondonico D. 23. Clemente G. 94. Saco C. 33. Prezioso M. 11. Cioffi A. 3. Martina A. 9. Spagnoli A. (C) 28. Giampaolo D.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 5. Bellodi G. 39. Motolese M. 43. Montebugnoli M. 4. Dessena D. 3. La Rosa L. (C) 8. Schiavone A. 20. Cavuoti N. 99. Bianchimano A. 10. Ragatzu D.
Substitutes
19. Agyemang G. 70. Barnaba T. 99. Basso G. 24. D'Eramo M. 10. Energe A. 8. Gatto E. 13. Marenco F. 90. Moretti F. 21. Paolucci L. 34. Radicchio V. M. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 17. Useini D. 12. Vitali L. (G) 80. Vogiatzis V.	21. Biancu R. 90. Catania L. 33. Guidotti S. 6. Incerti D. F. 26. Mameli A. 7. Mordini D. 18. Nanni N. 17. Palomba L. 67. Scapin T. 19. Scaringi M. 22. van der Want M. (G) 2. Zallu F. 15. Zanchetta F.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ancona won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Olbia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ancona is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ancona won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ancona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
03.02.24	Juventus U23 - Ancona	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Ancona - Cesena	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Pineto - Ancona	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Gubbio - Ancona	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Ancona - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTL
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
04.02.24	Carrarese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Olbia - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Sassari Torres - Olbia	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Olbia - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Cesena - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Olbia - Ancona	0:1
19.02.23	Ancona - Olbia	1:1
19.10.22	Olbia - Ancona	2:4
01.05.22	Ancona - Olbia	0:2
02.02.22	Olbia - Ancona	1:2
05.09.21	Ancona - Olbia	2:1

Ancona - Olbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide