Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 23

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Olbia		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.35
	2.8	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.71	3.05	2.46
	2.96	2.99	2.6
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.74	3	2.45
	2.75	3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.14)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
32.8%

Draw
30.2%

Arezzo
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

30.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29.1%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arezzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 5. Bellodi G. 39. Motolese M. 43. Montebugnoli M. 8. Schiavone A. 3. La Rosa L. (C) 4. Dessena D. 21. Biancu R. 10. Ragatzu D. 99. Bianchimano A.	1. Trombini L. (G) 3. Donati F. 13. Chiosa M. 4. Risaliti G. 2. Montini A. 5. Bianchi S. 16. Eklu S. M. 20. Catanese G. 7. Guccione F. 8. Settembrini A. 28. Gucci N.
Substitutes
11. Contini G. 29. Gennari M. 6. Incerti D. F. 7. Mordini D. 18. Nanni N. 17. Palomba L. 67. Scapin T. 19. Scaringi M. 22. van der Want M. (G) 2. Zallu F. 15. Zanchetta F.	22. Borra D. (G) 21. Castiglia L. 18. Damiani M. 12. Ermini J. (G) 24. Foglia F. 11. Gaddini M. 19. Iori M. 17. Lazzarini M. 25. Masetti L. 6. Polvani L.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olbia won 0.

Olbia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arezzo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Arezzo to win the game is with odds 2.44.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Olbia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Olbia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
21.01.24	Sassari Torres - Olbia	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Olbia - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Cesena - Olbia	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	SPAL - Olbia	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Olbia - Pontedera	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
21.01.24	Arezzo - Pescara	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Carrarese - Arezzo	2:3 ✺
06.01.24	Arezzo - Rimini	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Sestri Levante - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
18.12.23	Arezzo - Perugia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.23	Arezzo - Olbia	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
10.11.19	Arezzo - Olbia	2:1
24.02.19	Arezzo - Olbia	1:0
28.10.18	Olbia - Arezzo	0:0
10.04.18	Olbia - Arezzo	2:3
15.10.17	Arezzo - Olbia	0:1
06.05.17	Arezzo - Olbia	0:1

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