Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 22

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pineto		Ancona

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.25	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.35	2.89	3.5
	2.25	3	3
	2.21	2.96	3.27
	2.26	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)	2.98 ↓ (3)	3.18 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
40.6%

Draw
30.7%

Ancona
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

29.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ancona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pineto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ancona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Pineto - Ancona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pineto will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ancona will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 24. Evangelisti N. 30. Villa L. 19. Borsoi M. 23. De Santis S. 28. Ingrosso G. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 9. Gambale D. 10. Sannipoli D. 11. Njambe M.	32. Perucchini F. (G) 4. Cella S. 5. Mondonico D. 30. Pellizzari S. 70. Barnaba T. 3. Martina A. 99. Basso G. 94. Saco C. 33. Prezioso M. 10. Energe A. 9. Spagnoli A. (C)
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 27. Baggi F. 29. Chakir A. 20. Della Quercia R. 77. Foglia M. 36. Grilli M. (G) 82. Iaccarino P. 32. Macario G. 17. Manu D. 14. Marafini A. 1. Mercorelli S. (G) 99. Pellegrino A. 70. Teraschi M.	19. Agyemang G. 24. D'Eramo M. 8. Gatto E. 28. Giampaolo D. 90. Moretti F. 21. Paolucci L. 34. Radicchio V. M. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Pineto will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pineto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.01.24	Virtus Entella - Pineto	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
22.12.23	Sassari Torres - Pineto	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Pineto - SPAL	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Juventus U23 - Pineto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLTT
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
14.01.24	Gubbio - Ancona	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Ancona - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
22.12.23	Lucchese - Ancona	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Ancona - Pescara	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Sestri Levante - Ancona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Ancona - Pineto	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
15.09.23	Ancona - Pineto	1:0

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