Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 24

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Carrarese		Olbia

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.75
	1.33	4.5	9.5
	1.35	4.3	8
	1.39	4.39	9.34
	1.33	4.2	8.5
	1.34	4.25	8.7
	1.34	4.3	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)	4.32 ↑ (4)	8.6 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
68.1%

Draw
21.2%

Olbia
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

22.5%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

21.4%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Olbia aligns with the current prediction.

Carrarese - Olbia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Imperiale M. 7. Grassini D. 5. Della L. S. 18. Schiavi N. 11. Cicconi M. 39. Belloni N. 10. Panico G. 28. Capello A.	1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 39. Motolese M. 5. Bellodi G. 43. Montebugnoli M. 8. Schiavone A. 3. La Rosa L. 4. Dessena D. 21. Biancu R. 10. Ragatzu D. 99. Bianchimano A.
Substitutes
12. Calo L. 82. Capezzi L. 6. Cerretelli F. 21. Coppolaro M. 32. Finotto M. 99. Giannetti N. 29. Maccherini Tonini E. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 24. Morosini L. 72. Zanon S.	90. Catania L. 20. Cavuoti N. 29. Gennari M. 6. Incerti D. F. 7. Mordini D. 18. Nanni N. 17. Palomba L. 67. Scapin T. 19. Scaringi M. 22. van der Want M. (G) 2. Zallu F. 15. Zanchetta F.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1.

Recent matches Carrarese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olbia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Carrarese is indisputable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
28.01.24	Carrarese - Sassari Torres	5:1 ✺
21.01.24	Vis Pesaro - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Carrarese - Arezzo	2:3 ✺
06.01.24	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
22.12.23	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLTW
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
28.01.24	Olbia - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Sassari Torres - Olbia	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Olbia - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Cesena - Olbia	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	SPAL - Olbia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.09.23	Olbia - Carrarese	0:0
18.03.23	Olbia - Carrarese	1:1
20.11.22	Carrarese - Olbia	1:0
15.03.22	Carrarese - Olbia	1:1
07.11.21	Olbia - Carrarese	4:1
Italian Serie C Group A
07.04.21	Olbia - Carrarese	1:0
22.11.20	Carrarese - Olbia	3:0

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