Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hoffenheim		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.95	7.9
	1.47	5.2	6.46
	1.43	5.18	6.51	Watch
	1.4	4.8	6	Watch
	1.43	5.43	7.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)	5.09 ↑ (4.73)	6.98 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
67.5%

Draw
18.8%

Wolfsburg
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

20.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

19.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Hoffenheim (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Wolfsburg (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Wolfsburg (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 5. Kabak O. 13. Bernardo 7. Avdullahu L. 22. Prass A. 27. Kramaric A. 18. Burger W. 29. Toure B. 11. Asllani F.	1. Grabara K. (G) 6. Belocian J. 15. Jenz M. 4. Koulierakis K. 26. Kumbedi S. 19. Lindstrom J. 5. Vini Souza 24. Eriksen C. (C) 21. Maehle J. 17. Pejcinovic D. 9. Amoura M.
Substitutes
25. Akpoguma K. 9. Bebou I. 20. Campbell C. 21. Hajdari A. 49. Lassig V. 19. Lemperle T. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 6. Promel G.	18. Adjetey J. 11. Daghim A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 10. Majer L. 12. Pervan P. (G) 7. Shiogai K. 3. Vavro D. 39. Wimmer P. 23. Wind J.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Prass A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
61', Asllani F. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,
64', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
64', Lindstrom J. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Koulierakis K. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
69', Vini Souza 🟨,
79', Avdullahu L. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
80', Amoura M. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Promel G. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
85', Eriksen C. 🟨,
90+6', Eriksen C. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
90+8', Koulierakis K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.

In recent matches, Hoffenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hoffenheim is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Muller M. (Red Card) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Injury) Zehnter A. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Hoffenheim - St. Pauli	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
02.11.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:3
09.05.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2
11.01.25	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	0:1
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	3:0
German Bundesliga
04.02.24	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2
02.09.23	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	3:1
13.05.23	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:1

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