What is the expert prediction for Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg?

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Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 14, 2026)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Hoffenheim		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.95	7.9
	1.47	5.2	6.46
	1.43	5.18	6.51	Watch
	1.4	4.8	6
	1.43	5.43	7.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)	5.09 ↑ (4.73)	6.98 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
67.5%

Draw
18.8%

Wolfsburg
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

20.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

19.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 57.5% – 89.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Hoffenheim (1.61) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Wolfsburg (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Hoffenheim (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Wolfsburg (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 5. Kabak O. 13. Bernardo 7. Avdullahu L. 22. Prass A. 27. Kramaric A. 18. Burger W. 29. Toure B. 11. Asllani F.	1. Grabara K. (G) 6. Belocian J. 15. Jenz M. 4. Koulierakis K. 26. Kumbedi S. 19. Lindstrom J. 5. Vini Souza 24. Eriksen C. (C) 21. Maehle J. 17. Pejcinovic D. 9. Amoura M.
Substitutes
25. Akpoguma K. 9. Bebou I. 20. Campbell C. 21. Hajdari A. 49. Lassig V. 19. Lemperle T. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 6. Promel G.	18. Adjetey J. 11. Daghim A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 10. Majer L. 12. Pervan P. (G) 7. Shiogai K. 3. Vavro D. 39. Wimmer P. 23. Wind J.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Prass A. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
61', Asllani F. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,
64', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
64', Lindstrom J. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Koulierakis K. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
69', Vini Souza 🟨,
79', Avdullahu L. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
80', Amoura M. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Promel G. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
85', Eriksen C. 🟨,
90+6', Eriksen C. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
90+8', Koulierakis K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.

In recent matches, Hoffenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hoffenheim is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Muller M. (Red Card) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Injury) Zehnter A. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

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Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim: 0.08%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hoffenheim	27	15	5	7	54:39	15	50
17	Wolfsburg	27	5	6	16	35:57	-22	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Hoffenheim - St. Pauli	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
02.11.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:3
09.05.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2
11.01.25	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	0:1
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	3:0
German Bundesliga
04.02.24	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:2
02.09.23	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	3:1
13.05.23	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:1

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