Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Ajaccio		Amiens

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.75	Watch
	2.15	3	3.6
	2.18	2.95	3.65
	2.16	2.94	3.81	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.8
	2.22	2.93	3.84	Watch
	2.18	2.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.01)	2.95 ↓ (3.18)	3.73 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
43.2%

Draw
31.7%

Amiens
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

29.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	23.8%	14.3%

Ajaccio - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ajaccio will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 88. Bamba A. 5. Vidal C. 12. Huard M. 43. Kouassi A. 25. Anziani J. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 4. Barreto M. (C) 27. Kante A. 9. Santelli B.	1. Gurtner R. (C) 14. Corchia S. 6. Ait Boudlal A. 13. Jaouab M. 19. Vita R. 37. Monconduit T. 11. Mbaye M. 20. Kaiboue K. 8. Lobry V. 7. Leautey A. 9. Mafouta L.
Substitutes
31. Ayessa J. 10. Jacob V. 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 23. Strata T. 11. Toure B.	34. Bakayoko S. 17. Chibozo A. 45. Fofana I. 27. Lutin R. 18. Manitu M. 51. Rafii Y. 16. Sauvage A. (G)
Coaches
Debes T.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Monconduit T. 🟨,
18', Mbaye M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Kante A. ⚽,
28', Kouassi A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Mbaye M. ⚽,
40', Huard M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Kante A. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
75', Monconduit T. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
76', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ⚽,
83', Mbaye M. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
83', Kaiboue K. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
84', Lobry V. ↓, Manitu M. ↑,
87', Mafouta L. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ajaccio will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Chegra I. (Inactive) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
28.03.25	Martigues - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Ajaccio - Red Star	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Grenoble - Ajaccio	2:2 ✺
03.03.25	Ajaccio - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Metz - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWTLW
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
28.03.25	Clermont - Amiens	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Amiens - Caen	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Red Star - Amiens	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Amiens - Metz	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Rodez - Amiens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.10.24	Amiens - Ajaccio	3:1
24.02.24	Ajaccio - Amiens	0:0
26.09.23	Amiens - Ajaccio	0:0
19.01.22	Amiens - Ajaccio	0:1
31.07.21	Ajaccio - Amiens	3:1
24.04.21	Ajaccio - Amiens	2:2
22.12.20	Amiens - Ajaccio	0:0

Ajaccio - Amiens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide