Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Ajaccio		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	4.75	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4.8
	1.95	2.9	4.75	Watch
	1.98	2.87	5.4
	2.01	2.82	5.47
	1.91	2.9	4.6
	1.99	2.99	4.65	Watch
	1.95	2.9	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	2.9 ↓ (3.24)	4.89 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
48.2%

Draw
32.5%

Concarneau
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

29%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	37.5%	6.2%

Ajaccio - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Concarneau will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michel M. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 2. Chanot M. 21. Avinel C. 3. Quemper S. 22. Soumano M. 18. Ibayi C. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 6. Mangani T. (C) 10. Jacob V. 11. Toure B.	30. Salles E. (G) 33. Faussurier J. 4. Janez G. (C) 12. Celestine J. 2. Georgen A. 7. Matondo I. 6. Phliponeau A. 17. Etuin M. 11. Urie A. 20. Mouazan B. 22. Rodrigues C.
Substitutes
27. Campanini T. 44. Escartin J. 7. Nouri R. 37. Puch-Herrantz M. 16. Sollacaro F. (G) 19. Toure A. 5. Vidal C.	15. Bares G. 24. Gboho A. 18. Merdji Y. 9. Ndombasi N. 28. Paro I. 1. Pattier M. (G) 26. Sinquin T.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Le Mignan S.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Ajaccio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Concarneau is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ajaccio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
23.01.24	Dunkerque - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Troyes - Ajaccio	3:1 ✺
19.12.23	Ajaccio - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Auxerre - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Ajaccio - Orleans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
23.01.24	Concarneau - Troyes	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Caen - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
19.12.23	Concarneau - Grenoble	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Guingamp - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
05.12.23	Concarneau - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.10.23	Concarneau - Ajaccio	2:1

Ajaccio - Concarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide