Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Tupras Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Kucuk Z. (Tur)


	Beşiktaş		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	6	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.63	4.2	6
	1.59	4.05	5.89
	1.6	4.06	5.89
	1.57	3.8	4.8
	1.56	3.99	5.31	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	3.94 ↑ (3.75)	5.56 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
59.4%

Draw
23.8%

Ankaragücü
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

24.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	3.3%	3.3%

Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Gunok M. (G) 2. Svensson J. 20. Uysal N. 6. Colley O. 26. Masuaku A. 28. Al Musrati 18. Ghezzal R. 23. Muci E. 8. Ucan S. 11. Rashica M. 90. Kilicsoy S.	25. Ozbir E. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 26. Radakovic U. 45. Cetin M. 18. Mujakic N. 30. Cigerci T. 13. Bassogog C. 19. Flips A. 10. Bekiroglu E. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 9. Bajic R.
Substitutes
10. Aboubakar V. 4. Bulut O. 1. Destanoglu E. (G) 83. Fernandes G. 40. Muleka J. 15. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 5. Sanuc T. T. 79. Terzi S. E. 9. Tosun C. 17. Worrall J.	4. Cankaya A. R. 29. Cephas R. 23. Guneren A. K. 99. Gungordu B. (G) 35. Karatas K. 32. Macheda F. 8. Pedrinho 11. Rodrigues G. 22. Sowe A. 27. Unyay A.
Coaches
Topraktepe S.	Belozoglu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Svensson J. 🟨,
24', Bajic R. 🟨,
30', Gunok M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bajic R. ↓, Sowe A. ↑,
46', Cetin M. ↓, Cankaya A. R. ↑,
46', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Muleka J. ↑,
46', Al Musrati ↓, Fernandes G. ↑,
52', Flips A. 🟨,
63', Ghezzal R. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Muci E. ⚽,
72', Cigerci T. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
78', Ucan S. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
82', Chatzigiovanis A. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
84', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
85', Flips A. ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
90+3', Uysal N. ↓, Sanuc T. T. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beşiktaş won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Beşiktaş is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Beşiktaş won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Beşiktaş won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
03.05.24	Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor	3:2 ✺
27.04.24	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
23.04.24	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.24	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTWT
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
03.05.24	Ankaragücü - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Ankaragücü	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
23.04.24	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.24	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Ankaragücü - Gaziantep	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
23.04.24	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	0:0
Turkish Super League
19.04.24	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:0
03.12.23	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	1:1
05.03.23	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:1
Turkish Cup
18.01.23	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	2:1 penalties
Turkish Super League
04.09.22	Ankaragücü - Beşiktaş	2:3
16.04.21	Beşiktaş - Ankaragücü	2:2

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