Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Relegation - Final

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: BMG Arena (Portadown)


	Annagh United		Crusaders

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 (2.9)	3.4 (3.4)	2.17 (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annagh United
31.4%

Draw
26.7%

Crusaders
41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

25.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Annagh United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Crusaders have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annagh United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Little J. (G) 9. Balde A. 77. Donnelly P. 6. Henderson J. 8. Henderson N. (C) 23. Redman R. 17. Rogers A. 7. Swan R. 11. Taylor C. 27. Teggart E. 18. Upton L.	1. Dibaga M. (G) 43. Barr L. 9. Brooks A. 22. Bruce C. 19. Bryden F. 11. Dunlop E. 2. Forsythe K. 8. Jewitt-White H. (C) 7. McKechnie K. 29. Rough S. 16. Williamson J.
Substitutes
. Calvert K. . Convie J. . Farr J. . Jinadu A. . Johnson J. . Marron M. . Young C.	42. Anderson L. 4. Blaney J. 27. Maguire T. 23. Mccart O. 21. Nixon S. 10. Thorndike F. 33. Tuffey J. (G)
Coaches
McGurgan C.	Caddell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Rogers A. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Upton L. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Dunlop E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 2 - 2, Bryden F. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Maguire T. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Annagh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Crusaders is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Annagh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Annagh has had a series of home games.

Crusaders will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Crusaders: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Crusaders	10	5	0	5	15:18	-3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annagh United
Northern Irish Championship
24.04.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Annagh United	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Annagh United - Limavady United	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Annagh United - Queens University Belfast	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Annagh United - Loughgall	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Annagh United - Dundela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT
- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
25.04.26	Crusaders - Ballymena United	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Glenavon - Crusaders	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Crusaders - Portadown	4:0 ✺
07.04.26	Crusaders - Bangor	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Carrick Rangers - Crusaders	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWTL

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