Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Annan Athletic		Hamilton Academical

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.75	1.65
	4	3.8	1.65
	4.33	4.2	1.65
	4.29	4.22	1.68
	4.29	4.22	1.68
	4.4	4	1.6
	4.48	4.1	1.64	Watch
	4.1	4.2	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.76)	4.19 ↓ (4.8)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
22%

Draw
22%

Hamilton Academical
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

19.1%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

18.8%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Annan Athletic - Hamilton Academical Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fleming G. (G) 11. Galloway J. 19. Muir T. 5. Douglas M. (C) 3. MacIntyre O. 17. Walker J. 33. Gibson W. 8. Luissint B. 9. Smith A. 10. Goss T. 16. Ndiweni M.	30. Lyness D. (G) 22. Tumilty R. 18. McGowan D. (C) 4. Kilday L. 3. Longridge J. 28. Williamson B. 21. Davidson J. 14. Redfern M. 7. Henderson E. 24. Hewitt M. 10. Rose A.
Substitutes
12. Heraghty J. (G) 4. Hunter L. 14. Maxwell C. 20. McMenamin C. 2. Muir R. 7. Nugent K. 18. Quitongo R. 15. Watson P.	1. Fulton R. (G) 5. Hamilton J. 12. Hastie J. 33. Hendrie S. 29. Kirk M. 44. Latona L. . Morgan L. 11. Smith L. 19. Winter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Goss T. 🟨,
37', Ndiweni M. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Muir T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ndiweni M. ↓, Nugent K. ↑,
52', Williamson B. 🟨,
54', Tumilty R. 🟨,
56', Hewitt M. 🟨,
59', Davidson J. ↓, Hastie J. ↑,
59', Hewitt M. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Williamson B. ⚽,
71', Williamson B. ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
72', Goss T. ↓, Quitongo R. ↑,
78', Longridge J. ↓, Hendrie S. ↑,
79', Redfern M. ↓, Latona L. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Henderson E. ⚽, Latona L. (A),
88', 1 - 3, Smith A. ⚽, Muir T. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Annan won 3.

Annan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamilton is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Hamilton is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Annan won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Annan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
30.03.24	Alloa Athletic - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Annan Athletic - Kelty Hearts	3:2 ✺
16.03.24	Montrose - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Annan Athletic - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Falkirk - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TWTWT
- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
30.03.24	Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Hamilton Academical - Stirling Albion	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Hamilton Academical - Edinburgh City	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
10.02.24	Hamilton Academical - Annan Athletic	2:3
28.11.23	Annan Athletic - Hamilton Academical	1:2
29.09.23	Hamilton Academical - Annan Athletic	5:0
Scottish League Cup
06.10.20	Annan Athletic - Hamilton Academical	3:1
14.07.18	Annan Athletic - Hamilton Academical	1:0
Scottish Cup
09.01.16	Annan Athletic - Hamilton Academical	4:1
Scottish League Cup
04.08.12	Hamilton Academical - Annan Athletic	N/A

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