Match Info

League One - Round 31

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Galabank (Annan)


	Annan Athletic		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.55
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.45	3.3	2.7
	2.56	3.29	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.75
	2.59	3.26	2.66	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.43)	3.29 ↓ (3.36)	2.67 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
37.4%

Draw
28%

Kelty Hearts
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Annan Athletic - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Annan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kelty Hearts will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 33. Gibson W. 5. Muir T. 15. Kilsby M. 8. Todd J. 7. McGowan P. 16. Smith P. 19. Maxwell C. 23. Ross L. 9. Smith A. 17. Brown A.	1. Adams R. (G) 5. Flatman C. 4. O'Ware T. 27. Broadfoot K. 15. Owens L. 8. Brown L. 12. McClure B. 3. Paterson B. 10. Cunningham R. 9. Johnston C. 17. McCarvel L.
Substitutes
18. Bell S. 22. Bisland L. 11. Carmichael D. 4. Dixon J. 12. Fleming G. (G) 14. Muir R. 20. Strachan M.	21. Adamson R. (G) 7. Allan S. 26. Fellows C. 22. Hobbs B. 24. Lyon J. 14. McLeish L. 20. Mercer S. 6. Owens B. 16. Thomas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Brown L. ⚽, Paterson B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Brown A. ↓, Dixon J. ↑,
67', Maxwell C. ↓, Carmichael D. ↑,
68', McCarvel L. ↓, McLeish L. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Kilsby M. ⚽, Gibson W. (A),
80', 2 - 1, Ross L. ⚽,
87', Brown L. ↓, Allan S. ↑,
87', Cunningham R. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Annan won 2.

Annan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kelty Hearts is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Annan won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20:24 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Annan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
22.03.25	Montrose - Annan Athletic	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Inverness - Annan Athletic	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Arbroath - Annan Athletic	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Annan Athletic - Alloa Athletic	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLL
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
22.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Stenhousemuir - Kelty Hearts	0:0 ✺
11.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	0:4 ✺
08.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
01.02.25	Kelty Hearts - Annan Athletic	1:3
16.11.24	Annan Athletic - Kelty Hearts	0:2
28.09.24	Kelty Hearts - Annan Athletic	3:0
23.03.24	Annan Athletic - Kelty Hearts	3:2
13.01.24	Kelty Hearts - Annan Athletic	1:1
04.11.23	Annan Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:2
02.09.23	Kelty Hearts - Annan Athletic	1:1

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