Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Parc des Sports (Annecy)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Annecy		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.65	Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.68
	5	3.75	1.66	Watch
	5.2	3.9	1.67
	5.48	3.87	1.68
	5	3.8	1.57
	4.94	3.98	1.67	Watch
	4.9	3.8	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↑ (4.1)	3.83 ↑ (3.67)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annecy
18.8%

Draw
24.5%

Auxerre
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.6%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

25.3%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auxerre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Annecy - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Auxerre will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Escales F. (G) 2. Soukouna H. 4. Diaz Jr. M. 13. Jean G. 3. Mahop M. 22. Billemaz C. 5. Kashi A. (C) 25. Demoncy Y. 15. Beyer B. 7. Djoco K. 19. Ntamack S.	16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 14. Mensah G. 18. Diousse A. 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 17. Sinayoko L. 19. Aye F.
Substitutes
23. Bosetti A. 16. Callens T. (G) 8. Goncalves J. 18. Kandil N. 24. Kodjia J. 28. Larose A. 12. Testud K.	6. Agouzoul S. 13. Akpa C. 8. Buayi-Kiala N. 35. Danois K. 40. De Percin T. (G) 45. Onaiwu A. 75. Soumare I.
Coaches
Guyot L.	Pelissier C.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Annecy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auxerre is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Annecy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
10.02.24	Annecy - Concarneau	0:3 ✺
03.02.24	Guingamp - Annecy	1:4 ✺
27.01.24	Annecy - Pau	0:0 ✺
23.01.24	Amiens - Annecy	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Paris FC - Annecy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTLL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
10.02.24	Auxerre - Angers	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Pau - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Auxerre - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Grenoble - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
15.01.24	Auxerre - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.09.23	Auxerre - Annecy	4:0

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