Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 15 January 2024, Monday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	Auxerre		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.33
	1.75	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.81	3.98	4.58
	1.74	4.06	4.7
	1.7	3.75	4.2
	1.74	3.95	4.34	Watch
	1.7	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.77)	3.88 ↑ (3.79)	4.39 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
54.3%

Draw
24.3%

Bordeaux
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

24.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.2%	8.9%	8.9%

Auxerre - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (37 of 45 users predict this - 82.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.05% – 93.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 13. Akpa C. 18. Diousse A. 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 45. Onaiwu A. 19. Aye F.	1. Johnsson K. (G) 34. Michelin C. 24. Marcelin J. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 14. Nsimba V. 20. Diaz P. 6. Ignatenko D. 10. Weissbeck G. 17. Elis A. 9. Vipotnik Z. 7. Livolant J.
Substitutes
6. Agouzoul S. 28. Camara O. 2. Dagba C. 35. Danois K. 40. De Percin T. (G) 11. Maddy E. 75. Soumare I.	18. Biumla E. 72. Cassubie Y. 19. Ekomie J. 11. Pitu A. 8. Sissokho I. 13. Straczek R. (G) 33. Vetro J.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Riera A.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 15).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Auxerre to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Nice - Auxerre	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Laval - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Auxerre - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Saint-Meziery - Auxerre	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Concarneau - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW
- Girondins de Bordeaux
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Entente Sannois Saint-Gratien - Bordeaux	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Dunkerque - Bordeaux	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Angoulême - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Quevilly - Bordeaux	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.09.23	Bordeaux - Auxerre	2:4
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Auxerre - Bordeaux	Canceled
French Ligue 1
07.05.12	Auxerre - Bordeaux	2:4

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