Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Pau		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.75	1.73	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.73
	4.5	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.7	3.85	1.78
	4.76	3.87	1.76
	4.4	3.7	1.67
	4.53	3.92	1.74	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (4.49)	3.79 ↓ (3.86)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
21%

Draw
24.8%

Auxerre
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

24.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

23.6%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Pau have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Pau - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kamara B. (G) 12. Gaspar J. 4. Kouassi L.X. 25. Ruiz J. 24. Boto K. 9. Begraoui Y. 13. Mouton L. 21. Beusnard S. 7. Sylla M. 8. Saivet H. (C) 10. Boutaib K.	16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. 97. Raveloson R. 75. Soumare I. 7. Hein G. 45. Onaiwu A. 19. Aye F.
Substitutes
22. Ahoussou A. 11. Bassouamina M. 70. Boli C. 99. Chahiri M. 6. D'Almeida S. 40. Jeannin M. (G) 19. Kante	6. Agouzoul S. 2. Dagba C. 35. Danois K. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 11. Maddy E. 10. Perrin G.
Coaches
Usai N.	Pelissier C.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Pau is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Auxerre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
27.01.24	Annecy - Pau	0:0 ✺
23.01.24	Pau - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Rodez - Pau	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
05.01.24	Pau - Nantes	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Pau - Troyes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
27.01.24	Auxerre - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Grenoble - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
15.01.24	Auxerre - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Nice - Auxerre	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Laval - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.09.23	Auxerre - Pau	2:2
16.04.22	Pau - Auxerre	1:4
06.11.21	Auxerre - Pau	4:1
20.04.21	Pau - Auxerre	3:0
18.12.20	Auxerre - Pau	2:1

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