Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Parc des Sports (Annecy)

Referee: Rainville N. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Annecy		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.75	3.2	2
	3.1	3.1	2.24
	3.39	3.27	2.31
	3.25	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.26	2.24	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.57)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	2.23 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annecy
28.6%

Draw
29.3%

Sochaux
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

28.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

28%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annecy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	10%	83.3%

Annecy - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Sochaux will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3).

Annecy has the most likely position - 20 (15.69%), has project points - 39, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 1 (18.1%), has project points - 65, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (37%), has a chance of win league (18%).

This event has quality 32, importance 50, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Annecy is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sochaux is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sochaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
22.10.22	Bordeaux - Annecy	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Annecy - Pau	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Guingamp - Annecy	0:4 ✺
01.10.22	Annecy - Bastia	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Le Havre - Annecy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLL
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
22.10.22	Sochaux - Quevilly	2:2 ✺
15.10.22	Metz - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
10.10.22	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Valenciennes - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Sochaux - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWLW

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