Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 15

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Parc des Sports (Annecy)

Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Annecy		Bastia

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	3	Watch
	2.52	2.78	3.05
	2.38	3	3.56
	2.43	2.99	3.08	Watch
	2.58	2.78	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	2.85 ↓ (2.99)	3.16 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annecy
37.6%

Draw
32.8%

Bastia
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.8%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	17.6%	5.9%

Annecy - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Annecy: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Annecy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bastia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Callens T. (G) 6. Lajugie F. 18. Drouhin A. 27. Kouadio J. 2. Rowe T. 29. Casadei A. 5. Kashi A. (C) 22. Billemaz C. 28. Larose A. 71. Toure B. 8. Hbouch A.	30. Placide J. (G) 6. Guidi D. 4. Roncaglia A. 3. Guevara J. 66. Janneh J. 24. Meynadier T. 5. Ariss Z. 7. Vincent C. (C) 9. Tomi F. 14. Sebas J. 8. Karamoko I.
Substitutes
10. Benama M. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 33. Paris Q. 9. Rambaud T. 20. Tiendrebeogo J. 23. Veillon M. 25. Venot P.	25. Aiki A. 11. Ble M. 29. Etoga L. 1. Olmeta L. (G) 33. Petrignani M. 18. Zaouai A. 12. Zilliox N.
Coaches
Guyot L.	Ray R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Meynadier T. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Lajugie F. ⚽, Billemaz C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Casadei A. ↓, Venot P. ↑,
56', Roncaglia A. 🟥,
57', Guidi D. 🟨,
59', Guevara J. ↓, Zilliox N. ↑,
70', Vincent C. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
70', Karamoko I. ↓, Petrignani M. ↑,
75', Larose A. 🟨,
77', Tomi F. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
77', Larose A. ↓, Paris Q. ↑,
77', Sebas J. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
90+4', Drouhin A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 1.

In recent matches, Annecy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bastia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Annecy could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Annecy: Escales F. (Inactive) Jusseron-Veniere K. (Ankle Injury) Makutungu C. (Inactive) N'Sakala F. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Inactive) Veillon M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Knee Injury) Boutrah A. (Injury) Ducrocq T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Annecy: Toure B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bastia: Bathily Y. (Injury) Djedje D. (Injury) Meynadier T. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Annecy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annecy FC
Coupe De France
14.11.25	Cannes - Annecy	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Montpellier - Annecy	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Annecy - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Rodez - Annecy	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTLW
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Bastia - Reims	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Bastia - Clermont	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Nancy - Bastia	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Troyes - Bastia	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Bastia - Dunkerque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
04.04.25	Annecy - Bastia	1:1
27.09.24	Bastia - Annecy	2:2
27.04.24	Annecy - Bastia	3:2
07.10.23	Bastia - Annecy	2:1
15.04.23	Bastia - Annecy	3:0
01.10.22	Annecy - Bastia	0:2
Club Friendly
09.07.21	Annecy - Bastia	2:3

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