Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Metz		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.8
	2.5	3.15	2.8
	2.4	3.15	2.8
	2.48	3.32	3.04
	2.4	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.42	3.35	2.86	Watch
	2.4	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.35)	3.22 ↑ (3.08)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
38.4%

Draw
29%

Sochaux
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

31.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.4%	24.2%	33.3%

Metz - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 14 - 42.4%). Sochaux will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 25.5% – 59.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4).

Metz has the most likely position - 6 (8.43%), has project points - 56, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 1 (21.54%), has project points - 68, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (41%), has a chance of win league (22%).

This event has quality 43, importance 46, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 3.

Metz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sochaux is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Metz won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Bordeaux - Metz	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	Metz - Pau	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Bastia - Metz	1:0 ✺
12.09.22	Metz - Guingamp	3:6 ✺
02.09.22	Metz - Annecy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLT
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
10.10.22	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Valenciennes - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Sochaux - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
10.09.22	Dijon - Sochaux	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Sochaux - Laval	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.22	Metz - Sochaux	1:0
19.07.19	Metz - Sochaux	0:0
French Ligue 2
11.03.19	Metz - Sochaux	1:1
08.10.18	Sochaux - Metz	1:2
11.01.16	Metz - Sochaux	1:0
07.08.15	Sochaux - Metz	0:1
Club Friendly
25.07.14	Sochaux - Metz	2:1

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