Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go
Norway	VG+
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	AEK Larnaca		Brann

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.18	3.45	3.05	Watch
	2.29	3.59	3.16
	2.37	3.43	2.85	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.25	3.46	3.14	Watch
	2.21	3.27	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	3.43 ↑ (3.33)	3.01 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
42%

Draw
27.1%

Brann
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for AEK Larnaca aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.9%	16.7%	19.4%

AEK Larnaca - Brann Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Brann will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 45.5% – 78.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 7 - 70%). Brann (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Brann (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - AEK Larnaca (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Brann (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 22. Ekpolo G. 15. Milicevic H. (C) 4. Saborit E. 93. Gnali J. 17. Pons P. 6. Jimmy Suarez 7. Ledes Gustavo 9. Ivanovic D. 30. Cabrera E. 18. Chacon Y.	1. Dyngeland M. (G) 23. Pedersen T. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 26. Fauske Helland E. 17. Soltvedt J. 10. Kornvig E. 18. Sorensen J. 8. Myhre F. 19. Gudmundsson E. 22. Magnusson S. 9. Castro N.
Substitutes
20. Amyn Y. 19. Angielski K. 11. Bajic R. 24. Danny Henriques 99. Demetriou D. (G) 2. Ioannou P. 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 21. Miramon 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 27. Roberge V. 35. Thoma C.	21. De Roeve D. 11. Finne B. 32. Haaland M. 7. Hansen M. 24. Klausen M. (G) 14. Mathisen U. 41. Remmem L. 27. Sande M. 15. Torsvik J.
Coaches
Idiakez I.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Dyngeland M. 🟨,
39', Saborit E. 🟥,
45+1', 0 - 1, Castro N. ⚽, Sorensen J. (A),
45+3', Sorensen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Jimmy Suarez ↓, Miramon ↑,
65', Castro N. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
65', Magnusson S. ↓, Finne B. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Hansen M. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
72', Cabrera E. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
72', Ivanovic D. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Knudsen F. ⚽, Soltvedt J. (A),
77', Knudsen F. ↓, De Roeve D. ↑,
77', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
80', Myhre F. ↓, Remmem L. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Soltvedt J. ⚽, Remmem L. (A),
88', Chacon Y. ↓, Thoma C. ↑,
88', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

AEK Larnaca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brann is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

AEK Larnaca could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Brann - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw	4:1 ✺
31.07.25	AEK Larnaca - Celje	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Celje - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWT
- SK Brann
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Brann - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.08.25	Tromsø - Brann	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Brann - Häcken	0:1 ✺
07.08.25	Häcken - Brann	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.08.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Brann	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Brann - AEK Larnaca	2:1

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