Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Asuncion (Asuncion Mita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala


	Mictlán		Antigua GFC

	1	X	2
	3.15	3	2.15
	3.07	3.13	2.35
	3.29	3.18	2.22	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.23	3.13	2.27	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.57)	3.04 ↓ (3.06)	2.24 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mictlán
28.9%

Draw
30.2%

Antigua GFC
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

28.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mictlán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mictlán's form might have worsened.

Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antigua GFC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-4%)

Mictlán - Antigua GFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Faust J. (G) . Chavasco G. . Chinchilla C. . Folleco R. . Herrarte J. . Herrarte K. . Menendez B. . Monges R. . Monroy E. . Rodriguez J. . Salguero O.	1. Moran L. (G) 12. Ardon J. 13. Bradley D. 28. Camargo E. 3. Castellanos L. D. . Fernandez E. 9. Maziero A. 21. Robinson A. 5. Rosales J. 25. Santis D. 18. Santis O.
Substitutes
. Cuque D. . Figueroa J. (G) . Grijalva M. . Martinez C. . Meza P. . Racancoj J. . Rigoberto R. D. . Rivas B.	4. Carbonell J. 7. Castaneda B. . Chavez G. 35. Fernandez A. (G) 14. Garzaro S. 96. Herrera A. 33. Prillwitz H. 54. Sagastume S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Herrarte K. 🟨,
13', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
17', Camargo E. 🟨,
34', Santis O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Daly J. ↓, Castaneda B. ↑,
54', Maziero A. ↓, Bradley D. ↑,
55', Chavasco G. ↓, Racancoj J. ↑,
61', Camargo E. ↓, Garzaro S. ↑,
64', Herrarte K. ↓, Lemus M. ↑,
65', Herrarte J. ↓, Grijalva M. ↑,
70', Chinchilla C. ↓, Meza P. ↑,
70', Monroy E. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
71', Castellanos O. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
71', Rosales J. ↓, Sagastume S. ↑,
86', Robinson A. 🟨,
90+2', Rodriguez J. 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Mictlán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mictlán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Antigua	11	7	0	4	21:17	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.02.26	Cobán Imperial - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Achuapa	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Malacateco - Mictlán	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Municipal - Mictlán	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 LLLTW
- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.02.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Mixco	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Marquense - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Antigua GFC - Comunicaciones	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.10.25	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	1:2
09.08.25	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	2:0
18.03.17	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	2:3
22.01.17	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:1
20.11.16	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	2:1
11.09.16	Mictlán - Antigua GFC	0:1
19.03.16	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	2:1

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