Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Winston Pineda (Jutiapa)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America


	Deportivo Achuapa		Deportivo Guastatoya

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.92	2.98
	2.49	2.89	3.3
	2.44	2.91	3.18	Watch
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.4	2.7	3.2
	2.33	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	2.88 ↑ (2.66)	3.13 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Achuapa
38.8%

Draw
31.9%

Deportivo Guastatoya
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

34.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

33.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Guastatoya (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Guastatoya (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guastatoya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 36. Aquino D. 88. Carabali Y. 30. Corado J. 8. de Leon I. 4. Gaitan M. 10. Macal E. 91. Matta A. 7. Mejia C. 66. Santos C. 2. Suazo D.	1. Escobar R. (G) 11. Arboine K. 23. Armas V. 22. Avalos V. 9. Gomez S. 17. Lon A. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 77. Sanchez D. 10. Sequen M. 5. Ubico J. 44. Yori E.
Substitutes
29. Asprilla J. 11. Bol E. 22. Gonzalez C. 24. Lopez P. . Palma D. 27. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Sanchez E. 25. Tiul K. 9. Williams J.	7. Almanza J. 88. Alvarado C. 99. Cifuentes J. (G) 26. Cruz G. O. 30. Fernandez K. 27. Garcia N. 19. Garrido S. 70. Hernandez Y. 15. Morales H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
45+1', Mejia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramirez K. G. A. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
46', Ubico J. ↓, Alvarado C. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Santos C. ⚽,
54', Santos C. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
62', Alvarado C. 🟨,
63', Sequen M. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
68', Matta A. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
71', Lon A. 🟨,
71', Armas V. 🟨,
76', Lon A. ↓, Morales H. ↑,
87', Macal E. ↓, Tiul K. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Alvarado C. 🟥,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 0.

Achuapa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guastatoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Achuapa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guastatoya	12	8	1	3	19:13	6	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
14.02.26	Municipal - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Aurora	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Achuapa	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Marquense - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 TWWWL
- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
14.02.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Malacateco	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Mictlán - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.11.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1
21.09.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0
09.04.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:2
05.02.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0
29.09.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1
03.03.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1
04.02.24	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1

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