Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday


	Antigua GFC		Deportivo Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.1
	1.47	3.9	5.8
	1.49	4.27	6.86
	1.47	3.8	6
	1.49	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)	3.97 ↑ (3.54)	5.91 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
61.6%

Draw
23%

Deportivo Sacachispas
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

17.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antigua GFC's performance.

Deportivo Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Sacachispas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-25.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antigua GFC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Sacachispas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antigua GFC - Deportivo Sacachispas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sacachispas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Antigua is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.04.21	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	4:2 ✺
25.04.21	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
21.04.21	Deportivo Achuapa - Antigua GFC	1:2 ✺
18.04.21	Antigua GFC - Municipal	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	Deportivo Sanarate - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LTWTT
- CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.04.21	Deportivo Sacachispas - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
25.04.21	Xelajú - Deportivo Sacachispas	3:1 ✺
21.04.21	Deportivo Sacachispas - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:2 ✺
17.04.21	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Sacachispas	4:0 ✺
14.04.21	Deportivo Sacachispas - Comunicaciones	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLLW

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