The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Achuapa 16.4%
Draw 23.8%
Antigua GFC 59.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.1%
28.1%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
27.2%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antigua GFC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antigua GFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Achuapa - Antigua GFC Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Ruiz L. (G) . Acosta D. 24. Bol E. 11. Castillo K. 13. Castrillo C. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 8. de Leon I. 20. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C. 21. Suazo D. 25. Tiul K.
1. Moran L. (G) 12. Ardon J. 77. Camargo E. 4. Carbonell J. 14. Garzaro S. 20. Herrera A. 27. Ortigoza L. 23. Paz W. 6. Rosales J. 25. Santis D. 18. Santis O.
Substitutes
19. Betancourt S. . Carias P. 30. Corado J. 4. Gaitan M. . Lopez P. 23. Martir A. 91. Matta A. . Palma D. 37. Perez Sarceno B. E. (G)
13. Bradley D. 17. Castellanos O. . Colindres J. 30. de L. B. 2. Grijalva K. 99. Macareno K. 15. Maziero A. 22. Osorio J. 70. Sican E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Santis D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 🟨,
52', 0 - 2, Carbonell J. ⚽,
58', 🟨,
67', 1 - 2, Matta A. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Matta A. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
Antigua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 2.
Recent form of Achuapa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Antigua is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Antigua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Antigua is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:36. (average 0.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).