The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Antigua GFC 32.5%
Draw 31.6%
Municipal 35.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.8%
28.3%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
29.3%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antigua GFC's form might have worsened.
Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antigua GFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Antigua GFC - Municipal Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moran L. (G) 4. Carbonell J. 17. Castellanos O. 24. Fernandez D. 22. Franco J. 7. Galvez J. 8. Garzaro S. 34. Lopez K. J. 25. Paz W. 21. Robinson A. 6. Rosales J.
1. Linares B. (G) 26. Barrientos R. 33. Cabeza A. 31. Calderon C. 52. David A. 19. Hernandez C. 32. Lopez E. 3. Mena J. (C) 92. Mendez J. 4. Samayoa N. 8. Saravia R.
Substitutes
77. Camargo E. 20. Colindres J. 19. Espinoza J. 81. Fajardo W. 5. Garcia A. 2. Gonzalez A. 16. Gonzalez J. 72. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 27. Palencia D.
10. Altan P. 20. Archila C. 11. Bantes J. 13. Estrada C. 14. Franco J. 9. Martinez J. 16. Morales J. 7. Munoz R. 12. Navarro K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Hernandez C. ⚽,
22', Cabeza A. 🟨,
23', Franco J. 🟨,
26', Paz W. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cabeza A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
53', Carbonell J. 🟨,
56', Hernandez C. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
57', Saravia R. 🟨,
61', Franco J. ↓, Fajardo W. ↑,
61', Garzaro S. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
68', Saravia R. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
68', Mendez J. ↓, Bantes J. ↑,
70', Fernandez D. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
74', Camargo E. 🟨,
75', Rosales J. 🟨,
80', Lopez E. ↓, Archila C. ↑,
89', David A. 🟨,
90+2', Castellanos O. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 2.
Antigua has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Municipal shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Municipal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Antigua is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Antigua has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:27 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Antigua against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1:0.6 per game).
Watch
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Moran L. (G) 
Lopez K. J. 
Robinson A. 
Cabeza A. 
David A. 
Hernandez C. 
Lopez E. 
Camargo E. 
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