Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Pensativo (Antigua Guatemala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com


	Antigua GFC		Deportivo Xinabajul

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	6.75
				Watch
	1.36	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.42)	4.45 ↑ (4.33)	6.88 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
66.6%

Draw
20.3%

Deportivo Xinabajul
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

20.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Deportivo Xinabajul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Antigua GFC aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Antigua GFC - Deportivo Xinabajul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
100. Sican E. (G) 13. Bradley D. 15. Diaz A. 26. Fernandez D. 5. Galvez J. 2. Grijalva K. 8. Hernandez C. 21. Robinson A. 6. Rosales J. 54. Sagastume S. 18. Santis O.	1. Tatuaca L. (G) 21. Amaral U. 10. Chavasco G. 3. Gomez F. 32. Gonzalez F. 70. Hernandez Y. 18. Jucup N. 8. Ubico J. 5. Vasquez E. 23. Yori E. 11. Zuniga E.
Substitutes
9. Apaolaza F. 4. Carbonell J. 17. Castellanos O. 30. de L. B. 19. Espinoza J. 77. Flores Barrios R. D. 99. Romario 16. Santis D.	14. Aldana B. 17. Aquino D. 20. Baltazar Y. 7. Ceballos M. 4. Cifuentes A. . Elington E. 12. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 15. Trigueros W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
25', Ubico J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Fernandez D. ⚽,
30', Vasquez E. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Bradley D. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Santis O. ⚽,
43', 4 - 0, Fernandez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tatuaca L. ↓, Moreno Alfaro J. E. ↑,
47', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
53', Santis O. ↓, Romario ↑,
57', Rosales J. 🟨,
57', Yori E. 🟨,
63', Sagastume S. ↓, Castellanos O. ↑,
63', Rosales J. ↓, de L. B. ↑,
64', 5 - 0, Romario ⚽,
73', Galvez J. 🟨,
74', Galvez J. ↓, Santis D. ↑,
74', Grijalva K. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
75', Gomez F. ↓, Baltazar Y. ↑,
76', Hernandez Y. 🟥,
90', 6 - 0, Romario ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Antigua won 2.

Antigua is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Xinabajul is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Antigua is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Antigua won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Antigua won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.02.25	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	0:1 ✺
05.02.25	Antigua GFC - Malacateco	2:3 ✺
01.02.25	Marquense - Antigua GFC	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	Antigua GFC - Municipal	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Comunicaciones - Antigua GFC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTWW
- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.02.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Municipal	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	7:2 ✺
30.01.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Achuapa	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Cobán Imperial	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.11.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:2
25.08.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Antigua GFC	2:0
28.04.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:1
25.04.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Antigua GFC	0:1
21.04.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Antigua GFC	2:0
26.11.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:1
07.05.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:3

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