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Current Win Probability
Marquense 50.2%
Draw 27.9%
Antigua GFC 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
29.7%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
29.2%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marquense's performance.
Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antigua GFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-17.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marquense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antigua GFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marquense - Antigua GFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez G. (G) 17. Chuc D. 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 70. Hernandez Y. 79. Linton O. 24. Lopez C. 11. Ochaeta D. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 18. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C. 5. Vasquez E.
72. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 4. Carbonell J. 24. Fernandez D. 22. Franco J. 5. Garcia A. 8. Garzaro S. 2. Gonzalez A. 34. Lopez K. J. 25. Paz W. 54. Sagastume S. 18. Zamora Contreras M. S.
Substitutes
. Cano J. 13. Cifuentes J. (G) 30. de L. B. 19. Escalante F. 20. Gordillo G. 9. Grande D. 91. Matta A. 99. Rodas M. 8. Velasquez E.
77. Camargo E. 20. Colindres J. 19. Espinoza J. 7. Galvez J. 13. Gonzalez 16. Gonzalez J. 27. Palencia D. 60. Ruiz J. 30. Teret
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Fernandez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽,
50', Sanchez E. ↓, Grande D. ↑,
53', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
58', Zamora Contreras M. S. 🟨,
63', Zamora Contreras M. S. ↓, Palencia D. ↑,
63', Fernandez D. ↓, Colindres J. ↑,
64', Ochaeta D. ↓, Matta A. ↑,
69', Lopez C. ↓, Velasquez E. ↑,
70', Sagastume S. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
76', Franco J. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
83', Vasquez E. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Chuc D. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Santos C. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Marquense holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Marquense has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:38 (averaging 1.4:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marquense against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).
Mexico
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Gutierrez G. (G) 
Chuc D. 
Linton O. 
Lopez K. J. 
Grande D. 
Camargo E. 
Gonzalez 
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