Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Lucía (Malacatán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Claro Sports
Venezuela	Inter


	Malacateco		Deportivo Xinabajul

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6.25
	1.42	4.2	6.4
	1.41	4.45	7.23
	1.43	4.4	7.25	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.34	4.5	7.55	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)	4.3 ↑ (4.24)	6.87 ↑ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacateco
65.4%

Draw
21.3%

Deportivo Xinabajul
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

21.5%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

20.3%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Deportivo Xinabajul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Malacateco - Deportivo Xinabajul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Guzman A. (G) 15. Aguilar C. 23. Calderon R. 21. Lopez A. 7. Martinez L. 10. Ochoa J. 44. Paz V. 43. Perez Y. Y. 33. Quinteros F. 8. Ramirez K. 16. Torres Chavez V. G.	1. Tatuaca L. (G) 14. Aldana B. 17. Aquino D. 20. Baltazar Y. 3. Gomez F. 32. Gonzalez F. 18. Jucup N. 22. Sanchez J. 8. Ubico J. 5. Vasquez E. 23. Yori E.
Substitutes
11. Andrade N. 93. Chun M. 99. Correa J. 19. Guzman Miron D. J. 14. Laparra J. 1. Pelaez A. (G) 31. Perez S. . Ricardo Emilio C. C. 9. Robles Hristopher	21. Amaral U. 16. Cabrera G. 7. Ceballos M. 4. Cifuentes A. . Elington E. 12. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 15. Trigueros W. 11. Zuniga E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Yori E. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Ramirez K. ⚽,
27', Perez Y. Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
46', Aquino D. ↓, Amaral U. ↑,
57', Quinteros F. 🟨,
61', Paz V. ↓, Andrade N. ↑,
61', Ramirez K. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
69', Gonzalez F. ↓, Ceballos M. ↑,
73', Aldana B. ↓, Elington E. ↑,
73', Baltazar Y. ↓, Marroquin E. ↑,
74', Elington E. 🟨,
76', Quinteros F. ↓, Guzman Miron D. J. ↑,
81', Lopez A. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
84', Jucup N. 🟨,
90', Torres Chavez V. G. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Malacateco won 0.

Recent matches Malacateco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Xinabajul is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Malacateco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Malacateco have a series of guest games.

In this match Malacateco is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Malacateco won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Malacateco won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.02.25	Antigua GFC - Malacateco	2:3 ✺
01.02.25	Municipal - Malacateco	4:2 ✺
29.01.25	Malacateco - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Malacateco	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Cobán Imperial - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWTL
- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.02.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Municipal	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	7:2 ✺
30.01.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Achuapa	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Cobán Imperial	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Marquense - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.11.24	Malacateco - Deportivo Xinabajul	0:0
27.11.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Malacateco	2:0
13.10.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Malacateco	3:1
03.03.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Malacateco	3:1
04.02.24	Malacateco - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1
24.09.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Malacateco	2:1
19.08.23	Malacateco - Deportivo Xinabajul	4:1

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