Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Asuncion (Asuncion Mita)


	Mictlán		Aurora

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.95	3.03	4.36
	1.92	3.25	4.15	Watch
	2	2.9	3.7
	1.91	2.94	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.94)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	3.94 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mictlán
47.1%

Draw
29.8%

Aurora
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.2%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mictlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Mictlán - Aurora Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mictlán will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mictlán: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faust J. (G) 80. Chavasco G. 9. Colon S. 26. Escobar J. 29. Fajardo W. 30. Folleco R. 3. Herrarte J. 77. Lemus M. 34. Monges R. 44. Ramirez W. 19. Salguero O.	22. Sanchez L. (G) 17. Bajan D. 49. Campos G. 2. Cardona L. 25. Diaz A. 6. Garcia A. 4. Monterroso C. 9. Ruiz D. 30. Soriano B. 31. Urias V. 20. Vivas J.
Substitutes
23. Figueroa J. (G) 17. Grijalva M. 7. Herrarte K. 11. Martinez C. 5. Menendez B. 4. Meza P. 28. Monroy E. 31. Rivas B. . Rodriguez J.	51. Almaraz E. 27. Arevalo J. . Gonzalez L. 53. Hernandez Lainfiesta M. S. 11. Ibarguen E. 10. Lovato N. 1. Navas D. (G) 28. Ticuru J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Fajardo W. ⚽,
36', Folleco R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Lovato N. ↑,
46', Urias V. ↓, Ticuru J. ↑,
56', Soriano B. 🟨,
58', Garcia A. 🟨,
66', Lemus M. ↓, Monroy E. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
70', Ruiz D. ↓, Ibarguen E. ↑,
74', Folleco R. ↓, Menendez B. ↑,
78', 🟨,
83', Rodriguez J. ↓, Grijalva M. ↑,
88', Mingorance P. ↓, Almaraz E. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mictlán might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mictlán won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mictlán
Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.03.26	Mictlán - Municipal	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Xelajú - Mictlán	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Deportivo Mixco - Mictlán	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Mictlán - Marquense	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Comunicaciones - Mictlán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTWL
- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.03.26	Aurora - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Mixco	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Marquense - Aurora	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Aurora - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Antigua GFC - Aurora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.11.25	Mictlán - Aurora	4:0
22.10.25	Aurora - Mictlán	3:2

Upcoming Matches